The Afghan Bluff, and the bluff revelation

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The Swedish Afghan law, the school law, has been in force for a year. Under it, Sweden received nearly 10,000 new Afghans. Who are those 10,000 so-called coming, young people who got a ”second chance”? What do the statistics say about these young people?

Expressen was already investigating this in spring 2018 and this is how it looks.
* 99.4% of the Afghans are men.
* 49% of them said they had lived in Iran for at least one year before coming to Sweden. On average, they have lived in Iran for 10 years.
* 2% of those who have lived in Iran say that the country had tried to recruit them into the Syrian war.
* 78% of them have had years added to their age by the Swedish Immigration Service.
* 0% (zero) had some ID or birth certificate to show.

 How should these figures be interpreted?

*** If virtually every single refugee from one ethnic group is a man, who are the persecutors? Is it perhaps the women, the elderly and children who do not come here as refugees at all?

*** Half say they have lived in Iran. But according to the Finnish Immigration Service, 95% have lived in Iran before coming to Sweden. What’s the difference? It is because, especially after the Afghans realized that it was not good to say that they were coming from Iran, they began to invent the story of Taliban persecutors. However, with a few exceptions, virtually all come from Iran and have never lived in Afghanistan.

*** If you talk to a refugee activist, you will find out that they justify the need for Afghan refugees from Iran by enforced recruitment by the Iranian government into the Syrian war. But, of course, only 2% of Afghans say they have been targeted with recruitment attempts into the Syrian war. In other words, there is no systematic and widespread forced recruiting that would require asylum. What does Charlie Yaxley, UNHCR spokesman for Europe and Asia, say:

–  There has been no indication that Iran is forcing Afghans into the war in Syria. Similarly, the LITOS Country Report does not mention this.

Likewise, the usual argument for asylum activists is that Afghans are treated as second-class citizens in Iran and persecuted. On persecution and mistreatment, Yaxley says:

– For decades, Iran has had a very tolerant attitude towards asylum. The overwhelming majority of Afghans in Iran live in cities and live in peace with the Iranians.
Yaxley goes on to say:

– All Afghan refugees have a basic right to healthcare, for example, whether they are registered as refugees or not.

In 2015, Iran even improved access to refugee health care, and anyone can register with the national health care system, including paperless ones. Similarly, Iran is seeking to school all Afghan children.

*** Most of the newcomers, 90% have presented themselves as children when they came to Sweden. Again, 78% of these children have lied their age. The Expressen figure is roughly the same as the figures given by the Medical Board, which shows that 83% of those who appear to be children are lying.

Can the age distortion be explained on the Persian calendar? For example, if there are more months a year for Afghans, now let’s say 16 months a year instead of 12? That would explain the age difference. And a very common argument from asylum activists.

refugee

 Thus, every single justification for an Afghan asylum has been broken. There is no single reason for granting them asylum.

In general, the situation is strange. When an Afghan comes to Europe, and if he does not have the paperwork and the Schengen visa entitling him to entry, then he should not be allowed entry into the Schengen area at all. However, if a person is able to slip into the EU, he / she will have to be imprisoned for illegally crossing the border. By law, an alien must be able to prove his identity and nationality. If the police ask the Chinese tourist for papers and there is nothing to show, then the police arrest the Chinese. But for Afghans, the situation is quite different.

There is one thing that forced returns do not take into account. Iran is not, in fact, a muddy backwater. It is an Islamic country and just as insecure as Islamic countries are, equally for all. Why not just put Afghans on a plane to Iran. Of course, this must be approved by Iran, Iran is not responsible for the Afghans. But it could be an idea worth trying. Could Iran be tempted by some ”carrots” to receive the Afghans who had escaped from there? That way, asylum activists do not have to worry about their mascots traveling to Kabul and landing ”in the middle of bombs”.

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